A Projected Number Is Not a Reported Result
Learn to spot the verb tense that turns a modeled projection into a claimed result, so you can tell an estimated lifetime value from an actually observed one.
How to interpret social media results and the numbers behind them
Learn to spot the verb tense that turns a modeled projection into a claimed result, so you can tell an estimated lifetime value from an actually observed one.
A reported ‘conversion’ could be a lead, a cart add, a checkout start, or a sale. Here is the funnel stage question to ask before you compare two numbers.
A giveaway can grow followers fast, but that’s a different claim from lasting engagement. Here is how to check whether the gain actually held, and why.
Platform dashboards and third-party analytics tools define the same metric differently. Here is how to spot which one a case study is actually showing you.
Every metric wobbles week to week even with no campaign running. Learn to check a reported lift against that normal range before calling it a real signal.
A single winning case study rarely says how many stores or accounts ran the same play before one got published. Here is exactly how to ask for that number.
A flattering year over year number might just be the category rising, not the campaign. Here is how to net one rate out of the other before you credit it.
Stopping a test early because a variant looks ahead inflates the win. Here is why early leads shrink, and what a trustworthy stopping rule looks like.
A single channel’s win can be reallocated budget, not new growth. How to check whether total marketing spend actually moved before you believe the case study.
Two metrics rising together in a case study is not proof one caused the other. Here is how to spot the missing mechanism and what questions expose it.